Characteristics of a Kentucky Derby Winner
Horseracing Betting Lines
01/23/2012 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - For the longest time, thoroughbreds raced
four, five, even six times in their three-year-old season prior to the
Kentucky Derby. The norm these days is just two or three with the races spaced
out a month at a time.
In fact, the last five Derby winners hit the track just twice in their three-
year-old campaign before the first Saturday in May. In 2007, Street Sense
opened up his season with a nose victory over Any Given Saturday in the Mar.
17 Tampa Bay Derby and then finished second in the Blue Grass four weeks
later. The next year, Big Brown picked up back-to-back victories at Gulfstream
Park in March before taking home the roses.
Mine That Bird parlayed a pair of losses at Sunland Park in late February and
March to win the Derby in 2009. Two years ago, Super Saver won on the slop at
Churchill Downs after losing the Tampa Bay Derby and the Arkansas Derby in
March and April, respectively. Last year, the lightly raced Animal Kingdom
prevailed off two preps - an entry-level allowance loss on Mar. 3 followed by
a win in the Spiral on Mar. 26.
As one can see, it doesn't really matter if the horses win or not prior to the
Kentucky Derby. The key is to have enough graded earnings before the beginning
of May to guarantee a spot in the Run for the Roses.
This year, a few of the key contenders will have only two three-year-old prep
races, so for those folks who like to wager on trends, keep the names Union
Rags, Sabercat, and maybe Dullahan in mind.
Another key attribute for a Kentucky Derby winner is a victory or a close
second in a 1 1/8-mile race. Animal Kingdom (2011), Big Brown (2008), Barbaro
(2006), Smarty Jones (2004), War Emblem (2002), Monarchos (2001), and Fusaichi
Pegasus (2000) all won going nine-furlongs.
Super Saver (second by a neck in 2010), Street Sense (second by a nose in
2007), and Funny Cide (second by one half-length in 2003) all just missed
winning at 1 1/8-miles prior to the Derby. The only two years since 2000 this
trend has not held true were 2005 and 2009 when Giacomo and Mine That Bird,
respectively, crossed the wire first at 50-1.
Giacomo at least had a pair of nine-furlong attempts finishing third, beaten 1
1/4-lengths as the 8-5 favorite in the Sham, and then running fourth, beaten
by two in the Santa Anita Derby. Mine That Bird was 13-1 when he ran fourth,
beaten 3 1/4-lengths in the Sunland Derby. It is imperative to finish first,
second, third, or fourth, in the final prep race as the last horse to win the
Derby finishing fifth or beyond was Iron Liege some 55 years ago.
The most noticeable trend is the two-year-old jinx as Apollo in 1882 was the
last horse to win the Kentucky Derby without a start at two. That means Todd
Pletcher's Spring Hill Farm, who burst on the scene with a dazzling 6 1/4-
length score in a seven-furlong maiden race at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 14,
will have a tough time catching up to his contemporaries in the coming months.
THE IMPORTANCE OF A SOLID PEDIGREE
With most of the Kentucky Derby entrants coming to Churchill Downs with fewer
and fewer starts, a horses' pedigree is a vital way of narrowing down the
field to a more manageable number.
That is one reason why two-year-old champion Hansen is way down on my "Dirty
Dozen" list. Despite all the early accomplishments, his breeding does not
suggest success as the distances increase.
Hansen's sire Tapit has produced a ton of solid runners, including Trappe
Shot, Tapizar, and Stardom Bound, but not many have won past nine-furlongs.
His dam side, going back a few generations, lacks any sort of stamina to make
up for his distance-challenged sire line.
Another top runner, Discreet Dancer, has all the talent to be one of this
year's top milers but asking him to go another quarter-mile might be his
undoing.
The jury is out on his sire Discreet Cat as his first crop just turned three
this year. Still, his dam, Pretty Discreet, won the Alabama Stakes at Saratoga
and his sire, Forestry, sent out Shackleford who won last year's Preakness.
Discreet Dancer comes from a top-notch female line. His second dam, Bering
Cruise, is a half-sister to Love Me True, whose son Duke of Marmalade won
multiple long-distance Group 1 races overseas. His third dam, Lassie's Lady,
is a half-sister to Weekend Surprise, who produced A.P. Indy and Summer
Squall.
Nevertheless, Discreet Dancer's dam, West Side Dancer, has produced just one
other foal, the four-year-old sprinter, Travelin Man. The odds are strong that
Discreet Dancer has a better chance of stretching out his speed than his older
half-brother, but winning graded races over a-mile-and-an-eighth is still a
question mark.
To that end, the top pedigrees on the 2012 Kentucky Derby trail belong to Sky
Kingdom, Alpha, Russian Greek, Algorithms, and Casual Trick.
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He's 2-for-2.
The extra minutes at Candlestick Park provided a cruel
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Anaheim, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bobby Ryan had two goals and Jonas Hiller made
43 saves, as the surging Anaheim Ducks held off the Colorado Avalanche, 3-2.
Ryan Getzlaf had a goal and an assist for the Ducks, who have won five in a
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Melbourne, Australia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Reigning champion Novak Djokovic and
Andy Murray, who lost in the last two finals in Melbourne, were a pair of
fourth-round winners Monday at the Australian Open.
The world No. 1 Djokovic was
Chicago hopes to remain Bull-ish at home vs. Nets >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The banged-up Chicago Bulls look to stay perfect at home
when they entertain the New Jersey Nets tonight from the United Center.
The Bulls have been plagued by injuries this season and reigning MVP Derrick
Rose is one of t
Spurs seek road success in NOLA >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - San Antonio's struggles on the road this season have been
well documented and the team hopes to change that perspective tonight against
the New Orleans Hornets in the Big Easy.
The Spurs are just 1-6 away from the Alamo Ci
Short-handed Mavs host surging Suns >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Reigning NBA Finals MVP Dirk Nowitzki is battling a sore
right knee and will need some time off to get back to last season's
championship form.
The Dallas Mavericks were able to win without him Saturday in New Orleans and
Blazers limp home to face Kings >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Portland Trail Blazers are coming off a rough road trip
but at least they have the Sacramento Kings next on the docket. The two
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Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Odds
Will he or won't he? Now that the Dallas Cowboys have a new head coach in Wade Phillips, the big question will be: Does Terrell Owens stay with the team.
Jerry Jones continues to suggest that Terrell Owens will remain with the team.
"I've said that he's back, he's here, he's under contract," Jones said. "In the interviews I've just been through (to hire a new coach), it was very clear to me how highly he's thought of and how much of an impact he had on our offensive success."
Just to be sure though, Terrell Owens cleared out his locker and removed his name plate.
Terrell Owens was among the Cowboys most productive players this past season, catching 85 passes for 1,180 yards and a league-best 13 touchdowns.
But T.O. is due a $3 million roster bonus in June, then a $5 million salary this season. Cutting him before then would save a lot of money and headaches.
Aside from the questions surrounding Terrell Owens, the oddsmakers at MySportsbook.com have concerns over starting quarterback Tony Romo's state of mind and whether he will remain a starting quarterback. It is also not known how players will adjust to new head coach, Wade Phillips.
Here are the football odds as seen at MySportsbook.com and subject to change after February 10, 2007 if not locked in prior to that date.
Arizona Cardinals 60-1
Atlanta Falcons 50-1
Baltimore Ravens 15-1
Buffalo Bills 50-1
Carolina Panthers 18-1
Chicago Bears 10-1
Cincinnati Bengals 15-1
Cleveland Browns 100-1
Dallas Cowboys 15-1
Denver Broncos 15-1
Detroit Lions 100-1
Green Bay Packers 50-1
Houston Texans 100-1
Indianapolis Colts 6-1
Jacksonville Jaguars 30-1
Kansas City Chiefs 30-1
Miami Dolphins 40-1
Minnesota Vikings 75-1
New England Patriots 10-1
New Orleans Saints 18-1
New York Giants 20-1
New York Jets 30-1
Oakland Raiders 100-1
Philadelphia Eagles 18-1
Pittsburgh Steelers 10-1
Saint Louis Rams 60-1
San Diego Chargers 6-1
San Francisco 49ers 75-1
Seattle Seahawks 20-1
Tampa Bay Buccanneers 75-1
Tennessee Titans 40-1
Washington Redskins 50-1
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2007 Academy Award Betting : Oscars odds
The 79th Annual Academy Awards odds , which will air February 25th, is sparking an interest throughout the nation with the announcement of its nominees. As the public chooses their favorites, sportsbooks are creating odds for one of the biggest entertainment betting nights of the year.
Whether its at a “Oscar Party” or in an on line sportsbook, entertainment gambling on award shows represent a huge increase in betting. As the public speculation mounts, MySportsbook.com, the largest and most respected sportsbook on the web, posted odds on who is going home with a “Golden Best Friend.”
“ We see a majority of our entertainment wagers come from the Academy Awards,” said MySportsbook.com spokesperson, Tim Dalton. “This is a competition that applies to everyone. These are the people that entertain us on a daily basis and you want to see them win.”
MySportsbook.com posted the following odds for Academy Awards:
Odds to win the Achievement in Directing:
Alejandro González Iñárritu "Babel": 8/1
Martin Scorsese "The Departed": 2/17
Clint Eastwood "Letters From Iwo Jima: 4/1
Stephen Frears "The Queen": 12/1
Paul Greengrass "United 93": 15/1
Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role:
Leonardo DiCaprio in "Blood Diamond": 11/1
Ryan Gosling in "Half Nelson": 20/1
Peter O’Toole in "Venus": 16/5
Will Smith in "The Pursuit of Happyness": 16/1
Forest Whitaker in "The Last King of Scotland": 1/11
Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role:
Penélope Cruz in "Volver": 18/1
Judi Dench in "Notes on a Scandal": 15/1
Helen Mirren in "The Queen": 1/50
Meryl Streep in "The Devil Wears Prada": 10/1
Kate Winslet in "Little Children": 20/1
Best Animated Feature Film:
"Cars": 1/3
"Happy Feet": 2/1
"Monster House": 20/1
Best Foreign-Language Film of the Year:
"Water" – Canada: 22/1
"The Lives of Others" – Germany: 7/2
"After the Wedding" - Denmark: 24/1
"Days of Glory (Indigenes)" – Algeria: 23/1
"Pan's Labyrinth" - Mexico: 1/10
Odds to win the Best Live-Action Short Film:
"Binta and the Great Idea (Binta Y La Gran Idea)": 6/5
"Eramos Pocos (One Too Many)": 7/2
"Helmer & Son": 5/2
"The Saviour": 6/1
"West Bank Story": 7/2
Odds to win the Best Original Screenplay:
"Babel": 7/4
"Letters From Iwo Jima": 3/1
"Little Miss Sunshine": 21/20
"Pan's Labyrinth": 11/4
"The Queen": 5/4
Best Motion Picture of the Year:
"Babel": 11/4
"The Departed": 1/2
"Letters from Iwo Jima": 15/2
"Little Miss Sunshine": 17/10
"The Queen": 20/1
Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role:
Alan Arkin in "Little Miss Sunshine": 11/10
Jackie Earle Haley in "Little Children": 10/1
Djimon Hounsou in "Blood Diamond": 9/1
Eddie Murphy in "Dreamgirls": 2/5
Mark Wahlberg in "The Departed": 5/1
Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role:
Adriana Barraza in "Babel": 14/1
Cate Blanchett in "Notes on a Scandal": 11/1
Abigail Breslin in "Little Miss Sunshine": 2/1
Jennifer Hudson in "Dreamgirls": 1/8
Rinko Kikuchi in "Babel": 11/1
Film To Win Most Oscars:
Dreamgirls: 2/3
Pans Labyrinth: 6/5
The Departed: 6/1
The Queen: 11/1
Babel: 15/1
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest: 11/1
Little Miss Sunshine: 15/1
Additional sports and entertainment odds can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com - this sportsbook accepts credit cards.
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